The world’s thirst for energy is on the rise and Canada has an opportunity to meet the growing global demand for energy in an environmentally and socially responsible manner, but only with effective regulatory policies and increased market access, according to Canada’s Role in the World’s Future Energy Mix, the second in a series of economic reports released by the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP).The International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook 2017 anticipates the demand for all forms of energy – oil and natural gas as well as renewables and nuclear – will continue to increase as the global population grows to 9.2 billion by 2040. Emerging economies and urbanization in countries such as India, China and throughout Southeast Asia, along with rising gross domestic product, will increase total energy demand by 30 per cent from today.
Although the world’s energy mix is changing, oil will continue to grow and be the predominant energy source to 2040, while natural gas production grows to become the world’s second-largest energy source overall, both essential to the development of emerging economies.
Canada has an opportunity to become the world’s energy supplier of choice -- serving global markets with responsibly produced energy that displace production from countries with poorer environmental performance.
This can only be achieved if Canada’s oil and natural gas industry remains competitive -- attracting investment, spurring innovation, and gaining access to global markets to leverage our leadership position in environmental stewardship and responsible energy production.
CAPP wants the federal government to help define Canada’s vision for the future of oil and natural gas to meet the world’s growing energy needs. This vision includes:
• Collaboration between industry and government to create an effective policy and regulatory environment that encourages investment and access to world markets;
• Cultivating support among Canadians for the responsible development of our natural resources; and,
• Adopting environmental policies that compete favourably with other jurisdictions, encouraging the types of innovation and investment that grow our brand as the global energy supplier of choice.
Canada’s Role in the World’s Future Energy Mix can be downloaded at www.capp.ca/economicseries
Canadian Association of Petroleum Producer quotes: Tim McMillan, president and CEO
- “A healthy oil and natural gas sector creates jobs and prosperity for Canadians, but the positive impact of our energy industry on the global stage could, and should be, broader.”
- “It’s time to be realistic about Canada’s future. We have an opportunity to be a global supplier but we are limiting our opportunity to meet global demand with policies that constrict future growth.”
- “The demand for oil and natural gas will continue to play a significant role in the future energy mix and Canada could be the supplier of choice, but only if we take steps today to ensure our competitiveness for the future.”
- “Canada has an opportunity to ensure growing energy demand will be met by the most responsibly produced fuels possible. However, government costs and regulatory barriers are on the rise – making it harder to grow our industry and support employment for Canadians.”
- “Competitiveness continues to be one of our biggest challenges. Investment in Canada’s energy industry, and jobs for Canadians, will continue to leave for other countries unless there are changes to regulatory policies to enable growth industry can build on.”
- “We operate in one of the world’s most stringent regulatory environments. It’s important we have a robust regulatory framework that meets environmental goals, but we must pay attention to added costs, delays and inefficiencies so we do not risk falling behind.”
- In 2016, the world consumed about 94 million barrels of oil per day (bpd) – or about 32 per cent of the total energy demand. By 2040, the IEA estimates total world oil consumption will be about 105 million bpd– the largest share of any fuel source.
- In 2016, the world consumed about 129 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of natural gas. By 2040, global demand is expected to jump 45 per cent to 199 Tcf.
- Average energy demand is expected to increase by about 30 per cent by 2040 from today’s levels. According to the IEA, this is the equivalent to adding another China or India to current consumption.
- Of the almost 10 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted globally from energy sources in 2015, almost half came from coal.
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